Costs for Decision Making

When choosing between alternatives, three cost concepts determine what's relevant:

Concept Definition Decision Rule
Differential Cost Difference in cost between alternatives Include—this is what matters
Opportunity Cost Value of best foregone alternative Include—even if not in accounting records
Sunk Cost Already incurred, can't be recovered Exclude—never differential

The Framework

When comparing alternatives, ask: What changes based on my choice?

Quick Reference

If the cost... Then...
Changes depending on which option you pick Differential → include
Represents what you give up by not choosing alternative Opportunity cost → include
Has already been spent regardless of decision Sunk → exclude

Why Sunk Costs Are Dangerous

Psychologically: "We've already invested $50K, we can't stop now."

Logically: That $50K is gone whether you continue or not. The only relevant question is whether future benefits exceed future costs from this point forward.

The Sunk Cost Fallacy

Continuing a failing project because of past investment. Past spending is irrelevant to future decisions.


North: Where this comes from

East: What opposes this?

South: Where this leads

West: What's similar?